I’m going to have a look back at my Tour de France preview blog back from June. Going back over my predictions, seeing which predictions were correct and which predictions were way off the mark. There was some big name riders who didn’t make it to Paris and therefore I’m pretty sure my predictions will take a hit πŸ™‚

BORA – hansgrohe

Team Sagan! Sagan will be going for green again this year with 2017 probably being the toughest test for him. Could we see another rider wearing the maillot vert for the first time since 2011. Sagan’s unique set of abilities have allowed him to dominate the points classification for the past five years. But this years race has a number of pure sprinters stages and the emergence of similar styled riders such as Bling Matthews, Ben Swift and Greg Van Avermaet could see Sagan struggle to assert his dominance. With all this in mind it is still Sagan vs the rest in many peoples eyes. Sagan is joined in BORA – hansgrohe first Tour de France line-up with former Tinkoff teammate Rafal Majka. Majka finished in Paris last year wearing the Polka-dot jersey. This year could see him make an attempt to regain his jersey, the last rider to do so was Michael Rasmussen in 2006. He may of earn-marked a high placing GC rankings but the BORA support riders seem more suited for breakaways and Sagan support rather than any mountain lieutenants (Emanuel Buchmann being the only exception)

Predictions

Majka to win the mountains classification

Summary

Were can you start, no one predicted Sagan not to get to Paris. His DQ was a huge talking point so early on in the Tour. With the full team built around Sagan, the team then re-focussed to work for Rafa Majka only for the polish climber to abandon after the first rest day due to injuries sustained on stage 9. After another re-focus we saw Marcus Burghardt hit out in some breaks and the team work for Rudiger Selig in the sprints with german securing four top ten finishes and Maciej Bodnar took the teams second stage of the tour (after Sagan’s stage three victory) witht he TT in Marsielle. It is a real credit to the team that they have come away from the tour with two stage victories. I did hover predict Sagan to dominate the green jersey and Majka to secure the polka dokts. I was wrong πŸ™‚

Team Katusha – Alpecin

Alexander Kristoff will lead the line for Katusha this year. The squad contain three germans including TT World Champ Tony Martin. Martin will be aiming to claim the first stage TT in Dusseldorf and the first yellow jersey of the 2017 Tour. After a little blip in his TT career in recent years, Martin is back in fine form and if he does claim yellow he could be wearing it for a few stages. The other main rider in Katusha’s line-up is Norwegian Alexander Kristoff. if the rumours are true of Katusha not willing to meet his wage demands in regards to his recent returns, we could see a fired up Kristoff racing to earn his pay packet or a new team. The first week will look promising to the Norwegian sprinters with big long stages all over 200k, he has usually got a little more in the tank over some of the more purer sprinters, which could see him take an early lead in the points classification and hopefully his form will follow him to the champs elysees.

Predictions

Alexander Kristoff to win the points classification
Tony Martin to win stage one and take yellow in Dusseldorf (and probably keep hold of it until stage five)

Summary

It never really got going for Katusha. It was a tailored made start for german time trial superstar, Tony Martint o wear yellow in Germany. But a rain soaked Dusseldorf TT saw welshman Geraint Thomas surprise pretty much everyone to take his and wales first yellow jersey. After that came the Kittel show and Alexander Kristoff never really had a look in despite the long sprint stages. Tiago Machado was very visible on the front during the first week alongside Larks Bak and Julien Vermote but his hard work could not be rewarded. Hollenstein got in a few breaks in the later stages but overall a pretty disappointing tour for Katusha.

Team Sky

You could argue Team Sky are taking five GC contenders to this years tour. Froome will obviously lead Team Sky, aiming for his fourthΒ maillot jaune. Thomas, Landa, Nieve and Heano provide the plan ‘B’ for Sky. The squad also includes German veteran Christian Knees, Vasil Kiryienka, Michal Kwiatkowski and Luke Rowe. For the first time since his winning run began, Chris Froome enters the tour win-less in the lead up to the Tour. The route is against him with the lack of TT time but he still enters the race favourite, with his ability to complete on almost any terrain. Expect the full team to be behind Froome, so whilst he remains in the race i would rule any other sky rider claiming a stage.

Predictions

Froome not to finish! – I hope I’m wrong.
Landa to go for a giro-tour KOM double?
Thomas to finish top 10.

Summary

Viva La Froome. Froome finished in the closest battle for yellow in recent years, although it wasn’t a dominant Froome performance, it was more down to the outstanding work of Team Sky. Michal Kwiatkowski in-particular. Froome secured his fourth yellow jersey and Mikel Landa was one second of a podium spot. Sky kicked off the tour perfectly with ‘G’ taking yellow in Dusseldorf and Froome putting in some serious time on some of the other GC riders. Thomas held yellow until stage 5, where Froome took over. Froome held the yellow jersey from stage five to stage 12, and then reclaimed the yellow jersey on stage 14 until Paris. Eventually finishing 54 seconds ahead of second placed Righoberto Uran. There was times where Sky looked vulnerable especially after loosing Thomas on that killer stage 9.

BMC Racing Team

Can Porte do it? Will the Australian have the support he needs? What is GVA’s plan? These are a few questions surrounding BMC. There is no question Richie Porte is entering the race as the form rider, like Froome he will be hampered by the lack of TT miles but still use the two opportunities he has to make inroads into the pure climbers. Unfortunately I find myself thinking not if, but when will something go wrong for Porte; Illness, Badly timed crash or will he just not have the legs to go the full three weeks. I hope I’m wrong and he finishes second to Froome, pushing him all the way. But I just can’t see it. GVA will be given a free role, he won’t be much use to Porte in the mountains, and BMC have enough domestiques to look after Porte in any terrain. He will probably go solo, follow Sagan and battle for points and possible the odd breakaway.

Predictions

Porte not to finish and/or suffer in the third week.
GVA to join Sagan in break points hunting.

Summary

Stage 9 again! The biggest casualty of stage 9 was Richie Porte. He is pretty unlucky. After riding a conservative opening time-trial in the rain. He was in the main bunch of GC riders after the split on stage 5. His crash on the decent was pretty horrific, but good to see him back on social media a few days later. After loosing Porte BMC targetted stages with Damiano Caruso, Nico Roche, Alessandro De Marchi went in the mountains. Stefan Kung made a really impressive Tour de France debut with his second place on stage one and earning him the white jersey for a while. After loosing Porte, Kung was also active in breaks on the transitional and flat stages. GVA didn’t do as expected and waas completely uninterested in the points classification all together, he seemingly set his sights on a singular stage (stage 14). He finished second. Therefore for BMC they left the tour empty handed.

Team LottoNL-Jumbo

From Ski-jumper to Tour de France leader in 6 years! It is pretty amazing reading about Roglic, I think he will face a baptism of fire in France but hopefully he will come out the other side from it. It would be one hell of a story if he got top 10, never mind finishing on the podium. If he can stay in contention for one or two weeks. I think it will give him a great amount of confidence and he may than choose to attempt a more TT friendly Grand Tour next year. Dylan Groenwegen is the sprinter for Lotto NLJumbo and he can mix it up with the true fast men.

Predictions

Roglic to wear yellow.
Groenewegen stage victory

Summary

The Dutch outfit had a pretty decent tour really. New Zealander impressed in the top 10 until he had to abandon and they came away with the two stage victories. Roglic didn’t claim stage one as I expected, he then seemingly lost a lot of time in order for him to take the pressure off in his first Tour de France. It worked! Roglic briefly contested the Polka dot jersey amidst the Barguil domination. Then he took stage 17 after a break away attack. I’m sure he will use this experience as a great platform and could challenge for GC in the future, possibly the Giro if it includes some serious TT miles. The team also came to France with young dutch sprinter Dylan Groenwegen. He took a few top tens during the Kittel dominance. It looked as though Dylan Groenwegen was going to leave the tour empty until he took the biggest stage of all The Champs elysees. The 24 year old held off the likes of Andre Greipel to secure his first Tour de France victory and his name in the history books. His warm up racing in Yorkshire obviously was a good decision.

ORICA-Scott

Chaves going under the radar? Does he have the support? I think Chaves will finish in the top 10 if he finishes the tour but this year has offered little to get the Colombian fans excited. He could even find himself riding for Yates if he has a few really bad days or he is pretty comfortable in the top 10 and Yates needs the help to secure the white jersey.

Predictions

I have no bloody idea what ORICA-Scott will be like!
Yates to defend his brothers white jersey.

Summary

Well the Yates reign in white continues but apart from the white jersey, and a few ill-fated attacks on the GC group. ORICA didn’t really do much else. I honestly cannot remember seeing Chaves at all!

Trek – Segafredo

Last through of the dice for Bertie. Contador attempts the Tour with Trek for the first time with support from Bauke Mollema & Jarlison Pantano. He cannot be under estimated but doesn’t look to be at the same calibre of rider he has in recent years, could age be catching up with ‘El Pistolero’. As mentioned earlier in my Tour de France 2017 – Startlist preview, Trek have a very good plan ‘B’ in Mollema and could even use him up the road to force the other dominant GC teams to work. Trek also contains roulers such as Fabio Felline who is overdue a big win and John Degenkolb. I think Degenkolb will fair well and seems to be back on the mend after his horror crash on a training ride wiped out most of last year. He will be up there on the true flats, and if the course gets a little more enduring or technical he will be up there with Sagan challenging.
*Update after blog went out* Andre Cardoso has tested positive so will be replaced by 40 year old Haimar Zubeldia, who can hopefully get into a move and win his first stage in a grand tour for the 28th time of asking*

Predictions

Contador & Mollema to finish top 10.
Degenkolb to win at least one stage.

Summary

Contador looked to animate the race and seemingly was the only GC rider who attacked Froome and SKY. But that may of been due to the time gap between Contador and yellow. None the less Contador and Mollema were always on the attack and did make the GC teams work, in soem stages which were destined for stalemate finishes. In one of Mollema’s moves he reaped the untimate reward with a stage victory on stage 15. Degenkol before the race outlined his duties of not sprinter (Which If i would of heard this before the race I probably wouldn’t of backed Dege, saying this he still did take two podium finishes)

Lotto Soudal

I’m looking for an exciting race from Lotto Soudal, Greipel for the flats, De Gendt for KOM, and Benoot, Wellens and Gallopin to take any opportunity they can get there hands on. The sprinters this year are a tricky one, Is Greipel feeling the effects of age, is Cav recovered, can Kristoff silence the doubters and are any of these up to challenge a in-form Kittel.

Predictions

Greipel to start well, but fade?
De Gendt to be the break-away king again.

Summary

How De Gendt didn’t get the super combative I don’t know! De Gendt was everywhere takign intermediate sprints, mountain points and taking straggles to the top of mountains in breaks! He is a warrior! Greipel was a little bit less impressive, he was there of there abouts but this tour had a feeling of ‘passing of the guard’ Contador, Greipel, Tony martin all not what they once was.

Fortuneo – Vital Concept

Expect a FVC man to make most of the breaks in this years tour.The team is made up entirely of Frenchmen apart from Argentinian Sepulveda and Britain Dan McLay. McLay had a breakthrough tour last year with the french pro-continental outfit, featuring in many of the flat finishes. Can he go one better this year? There is just the small matter of Kittel, Cav, Sagan, Kristoff, Greipel and a host of World Tour sprinters in his way. FVC’s other prominent rider is Eduardo Sepulveda. He impressed a few years back at the Tour of Turkey, and could possibly feature in some of this years climbs. Especially with the lack of Quintana friendly super summits, Sepulveda should be able to better his Tour de France best finish of 59th.

Predictions

McLay to get a few top 5 finishes.
FVC to be well represented in the break.
Sepulveda to finish top 20.

Summary

Pretty decent tour for Fortuneo-Oscaro, yes sprinter McLay didn’t improve on last year but when Andre Greipel cant win a stage it just shows the dominance of Kittel. McLay eventually abandoned on stage 17. Ellie Gesbert, Romain Hardy and Pierre-Luc Perrichon enjoyed some good quality break away time. Some nice brand exposure work boys!

Astana Pro Team

Can the Aru & Fuglsang combination undo the Sky, Movistar and BMC GC approach. I’m not sure about everyone else but I’ve never been a fan of Astana. But now with Nibali departing and the tragic events surrounding Michelle Scarponi early in the year. I can’t help but wanting them to do well. Fuglsang impressed at the recent Criterium Dauphine, and really has earned his right to lead a Grand Tour. Aru was unlucky to miss out on the Giro and therefore shifted his focus to the Tour, could Astana ride in a similar fashion to last years Giro. Attacking from the world go and making the Movistar, Sky stranglehold of the peloton tire. Astana don’t have a team filled with experience mountain domestiques (with only Dario Cataldo offerign any support).

Predictions

Aru or Fuglsang to win it!
A stage in for Astana.

Summary

Astana had some serious tactically questions asked and unfortunately couldn’t find the answers. Fabio Aru started like a house on fire and his awesome attack on stage five and stage victory put everyone on red alert. Aru took yellow on stage 12 but rather frustrating lost it on stage 14 (seemingly a easier stage for the GC boys). His team was nowhere and he got caught behind several time gaps. By that point Aru had lost Cataldo and Fuglsang and he could never recover. Eventually finishing fifth. Will he be riding the 2018 Tour as part of UAE ??

Direct Energie

Welcome to the Tommy Farewell tour. No Bryan? Like most people I’m a little confused about the Direct Energie team. Bryan Coquard came as close as you can finically come to winning a stage at the tour last year, without actually winning it *we are talking millimetres). He recently decided his career needed a rejuvenation at World tour level, as many suspected. This has seemingly cost him his place at this years tour. Although you may see the point to Direct Energie’s approach he is still undoubtedly there best chance of a stage victory at the Tour, which is surely the team and sponsors aim no matter which rider wins it. Instead Direct Energie have seemingly built a team around Thomas Voeckler, a break away specialist who would be quiet happy to ride the tour by himself. He just floats around the peloton, looking for opportunities. Direct Energie have given a tour debut to impressive frenchman Thomas Boudet in Coquard’s absence. Boudat may be able to call on the service of Gene and Petit in the sprints (although Petit may also get a chance on the flats). I’ve been impressed with Boudat for a while , and although I don’t think he is at the stage to take a stage, he may provide the same surprises as Dan McLay did in 2016.

Predictions

Voeckler to get close, but leave the tour empty handed.
Boudat to impress in Coquards absence.
Calmejane to get in breaks, could he step into Tommy’s shoes after this year.

Summary

Direct Energie’s lead up to the tour wasn’t the best. If Coquard was watching Kittel dominate he may not of felt that heartbroken to of missed the tour, but once Kittel abandoned Coquard would definitely of profited and could he of even took a famous french win on the Champs elysees? Adrien Petit and Thomas Boudat shared the sprinting honours, with neither taking a top 3 finish on any of the flat stages. As expected Thomas Voeckler was active off the front but unfortunately had nothing to show from it, come Paris. Although the saving grace of Direct Energie’s tour must of been Lilian Calmejane, a french winner on stage 8, could he take over the mantel left by Voeckler and become a breakaway artist just like Tommy? Hopefully.

AG2R La Mondiale

Bardet’s best chance. The lack of TT’s and the questionable form of the old guard (Contador, Froome and Quintana) Could open the door perfectly for the frenchman. He has raced the previous four editions of the tour never finishing lower than 15th (on his debut). It is easy to forget he was the runner up in 2016. He is starting with one of the strongest Ag2R teams i’ve sen in recent years with Mathias Frank, Pierre Latour, Axel Domont and Alexis Vuillermoz for direct support. The team also boast recently crowned Belgian champion Oli Naesen.

Predictions

Latour to impress alongside Bardet
Bardet to win, but definitely podium.

Summary

AG2R looks really impressive, the French team took the battle to team sky on more than one occasion and looked to have cracked Froome more than once, only for the pure strength of Team Sky to haul him back. Bardet suffered at the hands of the time trials, despite his clear descendign skills earning him another stage victory. I’m pretty sure i’ll see Romain Bardet win the Tour de France one day.

Wanty – Groupe Gobert

No Tour experience could make an exciting prospect for the Belgium pro-conti team. The teams stand out riders are Guillaume Van Keirsbulck, Dion Smith (formerly of ONE pro cycling) and Guillaume Martin. Van Keirsbulck is a 26 year-old one day Belgian racer and could target the transitional stages, but he can also sprint. So if he finds himself in a reduced bunch, he may be able to squeeze a victory. Guillaume Martin will be a man for the mountain breaks and will be active throughout the race.

Predictions

Guillaume Van Keirsbulck to get a few WT admirers.

Summary

Not a bad tour for Wanty, Guillaume Martin mixed it up with the GC men (hello World Tour teams) and Yoan Offredo loved to get his face on camera :). Wanty placed in a few of the sprints, with Van Keirsbulck and Vanspeybrouck. Although Wanty’s biggest achievement was Guillaume Van Keirsbulck spending the hole stage by himself up the round on stage four (207km).

Dimension Data

Can Cavendish get any closer to 34 stages. He has only recently recovered from his Glandular fever and was unable to challenge at the Tour of Slovenia and the British Road Race championships, a race which teammate Steve Cummings won. Cav’s lead out looks as imperative as ever Eisel, Boasson Hagen, Janse Van Rensburg, Yorkshireman Scott Thwaites and right-hand man Mark Renshaw. This lTour sees Steve Cummings donning the British road & TT champions jersey for the first time and he and Tour de Yorkshire champion Serge Pauwels to hunt for solo victories in the mountains.

Predictions

Cummings and Pauwels to light-up the break away stages in the mountains.
Not so confident about Cav’s chances.

Summary

Cav’s abandonment on stage four with his altercation with Sagan was really unfortunate, as he looked to be riding himself back into form after his illness. This did give Eddie Boassen Hagen the chance to sprint and he probably came away from the tour being the best out and out flat sprinter. Only closely being beaten by Kittel on stage seven. He eventually got his stage victory on stage 19 after a ‘solo’ attack. Cummings and Pauwels attempted to get in the breaks, with the later being more successful. Unfortunately for Cummings, he either couldn’t get in the right move or got caught in GC crossfire! Although after his injuries, it was an achievement getting to Dusseldorf never mind Paris.

Cofidis, Solutions CrΓ©dits

Bouhanni and his bunch will be about the sprints again in 2017.The two spaniards Luis Angel MatΓ© and Daniel Navarro are the only two riders not involved in propelling Bouhanni on the flats, so will loose time early doors and get motoring in the hills.

Predictions

Bouhanni to get a stage win.

Summary

Bouhanni and Cofidis Tour just never clicked, he did make it all the way to Paris.

Cannondale-Drapac Pro Cycling Team

After finally breaking there World Tour curse in May, Cannondale have assembled a team all about the stage victories. Teh two riders who secured there victories in may are included in the squad. Talansky took a stage at the Tour of California and Pierre Rolland rode to a victory on stage 17 of the Giro D’Italia. The squad is seemingly made up of two styles climbers, but with no real GC focus and roulers for breakaway victories. The climbers include Rolland, Talansky, Uran. The roulers include Phinney, Clarke, Bettiol, Bevin, Van Baarle and Brown. Apart from stages the tactics are not to clear to me. Rolland will probably fade due to the Giro whilst Talanksy probably has the best chance of a high place finish.

Predictions

Expect a green jersey in the break!
Talanksy to finsih top 7.

Summary

Wow I got this wrong, Rigo came into this tour and no body really gave him a look in. He was constantly up there with the GC men and even got himself a stage (sprinting with no gears). Taylor Phinney and fellow American Nathan Brown shared the Polka dot jersey early on before the big climbs came. Uran’s performance was outsandign finishing second and not really having the support of Team Sky or AG2R.

Bahrain Merida Pro Cycling Team

Ion Izagirre gets his chance in Nibali’s pet project. Bahrain also have Sonny Colbrelli who could upset some sprinters in the more taxing stages. Izagirre is a great time-trialist and climber, and having being the bridesmaid at Movistar for a few years under Valverde and Quintana. He now gets the chance to race his own race with the support of his Bahrain team. He is a classy rider and expect him to be with the top calibre riders throughout the tour.

Predictions

Izagiree to finish top 5.

Summary

After loosing Izagirre on stage one, Bahrain didn’t really seem to know what they were doing. Nibali’s team must of just been focussed on the Giro and no planning gone into the Tour. Colbrelli attempted some sprints but wasn’t in the same league as Kittel or Matthews.

FDJ

Arnaud DeMare will lead FDJ in search of his first Grand Tour win. FDJ also have Thibaut Pinot and Arthur Vichot for stage victories on the less sprinter friendly stages. Pinot rode the Giro and took a victory on stage 20. With no team around him he may be in a similar position to Rafal Majka, he may fight for podium in the initial weeks but use the third week fighting for points. His time losses may free him up to go for stage victories, which the french public would love. After winning Mialn-SanRemo, DeMare has established himself as a world class sprinter. His best finish on a Tour de France stage is third, but I expect him to improve on that at this years tour.

Predictions

Pinot to go for KOM points.
Pinot to win a big mountain stage.
Demare to win a stage.

Summary

It started pretty well for DeMare and at one stage it looked like he could go for green and challenge Kittel. DeMare got a stage and in the process broke the french sprinting hoodoo. Demare and three team mates were over the time limit on stage 9. Many people questioned FDJ’ tactics of sacrificing so many riders to save a lost cause in DeMare. Pinot’ Giro had took its tole and apart from the heroic performance of Le Gac, who at one point looked destined to abandon only to make it to Paris. there was very much else to celebrate for the french side after DeMare packed up and went home.

Movistar Team

Nairo Quintana attempts to get his season back on track after missing out on the Giro. He will be supported by a formidable team including evergreen Alejandro Valverde. Quintana started 2017 with the target of the Giro-Tour double. By finishing 2nd and 31 seconds down on Tom Dumoulin in the Giro he now has the task of at getting his season back on track. Undoubtedly a tour victory would wipe away any pain of missing out on the Giro. But I feel the Giro may of just taken to much out of the Colombian. the Movistar roster also looks a little ‘light’ in relation to recent Tour rosters. There are no doubt Betancur, Valverde, Amador, Castroviejo & Herrada are classy riders but with Gorka and Ion Izagirre added a large amounts of security in the mountains for Quintana. Last year also saw Daniel Moreno and Anacona help Quintana in search of the yellow jersey. The team is rounded off by Ervitti, Sutterlin and Bennati who will predominately work on the flat and transitional stages. I hope Movistar let Jasha Sutterlin go full gas in Dusseldorf for an outside chance of the stage in Germany.

Predictions

Quintana not to reach Paris
Valverde to claim a top 5 finish and a stage victory.
Betancur to go on numerous adventures.

Summary

Valverde crashed out on the wet roads of Dusseldorf and that set the tone of Movistar’s tour. Quintana was always the first ‘GC contender” to be dropped apart from his stage thirteen exploration with Landa and Contador. Betancur got up the round a fair bit though which was always interesting, eventually securing a 18th overall finish.

UAE Team Emirates

UAE make there Tour debut and will look to establish themselves and possibly secure a stage victory and the white jersey. Atapuma, Swift and Ulissi offer the best opportunity for stage victories. Darwin Atapuma will be a man for the mountain breaks, Meintjies will find it difficult to get the freedom required for a stage victory if he is cementing a top 10 place and white jersey classification. He will try and spend a lot of his time in the lead group rubbing shoulders with Froome, Quintana and Contador. Ben Swift will look for opportunities in the flats and on the more transitional stages. He recently shoed in the Dauphine his climbing capabilities so you may see him in the odd break of two. Expect to see plenty of UAE jerseys in the breaks throughout July.

Predictions

Louis Meintjes to finish top 15 and second in the white jersey classification.
Ben Swift to come close.
Diego Ullise takes a stage.

Summary

UAE looks lively in some stages (Atapuma coming agonising close to a stage). Young South African Louis Meintjes looked good but not at the same level as white jersey rival Yates, whom he eventually finished second too.

Quick-Step Floors

Quickstep were the last team to finalise there roster for the 104th Tour de France. They took there time! There team is headlined by German Marcel Kittel, who goes into the race as the sprinter to beat. He goes in with a formidable train and sense says he could leave the tour with a number of stage victories. Another question is were will he ride next year, does one team have the capabilities to keep Gaviria and Kittel in there ranks. If true, Kittel could use the tour to place himself firmly in the shop window and certify his position as the number 1 sprinter in the world. Quickstep is also made up of Irishman Dan Martin, I know it’s crazy but I’ve just got a funny feeling regarding Martin and this years Tour, with the lack of TT’s and super summits. The more punchy climbs could really play into the hands of the ardennes specialist. I think he could podium, and at 100/1 is he worth a punt. He will not have a team to support him and how much attention and support may depend on Kittel’s dominance. Defiantly an interesting back story to follow in this years Tour. The team also includes Phillipe Gilbert, Ginaluca Brambilla and Jack Bauer. Who may offer a little support to Dan Martin’s efforts will probably also be ont he look out for late attacks, breaks and stage victories.

Predictions

Dan Martin to finish top 5. Just
Marcel Kittel to take a number of stages.

Summary

A great tour for Quicktep but it could of been so much better. Quickstep can’t complain a top 6 GC finish and 5 stage victories. But you can’t help but thinking ‘what if’. What if the squad had not got sick causing Kittel and Gilbert abandonments. Coudl Kittel of got another two stages? Probably? One of those being in Paris. Then there was Dan martin, who was always with Froome, Aru, Bardet and Uran. What if Richie Porte’s crash hadn’t cost him 1.15 on stage 9 and the injuries to his lower back which followed. I felt so sorry for Dan Martin who saw his best chance of a podium in Paris disappear due to no fault of his own. But in his own words ‘Hey, thats bike racing’. Also I must mention Julien Vermote, who rode on the front for what seems every km on the flat stages. The guy was a machine!

Team Sunweb

Team Sunweb enter the 104th Tour de France on the back of a highly successful Giro d’Italia which saw Tom Dumoulin secure the pink jersey in his first grand tour victory. Team Sunweb line up in full support of Michael Matthews to challenge Peter Sagan for green. Like Sagan ‘Bling’ can climb and in the later weeks get in the breaks to mop up the intermediate sprint points. Matthews will also have his eyes firmly set on stages 3 & 14 (likely uphill sprints). Sunweb’s teams is made up of domestiques for Matthews as well as a duo of recognised climbers. Frenchman Warren Barguil and peloton veteran Laurens Ten Dam. The later will provide leadership on the road as well as playing a strong support role. Barguil is a strong climber but may favour a similar approach to Thibaut Pinot, sacrificing a Top 10 GC or higher finish for the glory of stage victories.

Predictions

Barguil to win a stage.
Matthews to win a stage and finish second in the points classification.

Summary

The Team of the Tour! What did Sunweb do over this winter. Barguil took the polka dot jersey in dominant fashion and often mixed it with the GC group just for the sake of it. He also took two stages including a huge win on the Izoard. His team and roommate Michael Bling Matthews also had one hell of a Tour. Taking the green jersey and two stages of his own. One of those stages being his targeted stage 14. Matthews constantly chipped away at Kittel’s lea in green. Pickign up points after climbs and getting in breaks. He eventually got within 29 points of Kittel before the german had to abandon. Even if Kittel remained healthy there was a strong case Matthews would of still taken the green jersey.

 

 

I hope you enjoyed the review of the predictions. I think it’s always interesting to go back three weeks and see how I though it would go with the power of hindsight. As I’ve previously said I only really do these blogs for myself and as you can probably tell, i’m not the most talented copyrighter (being a Proud Dyslexic and all) . But if you enjoyed the blog please feel free to drop me a tweet @Matt_Russell_92. Will hopefully do a similar blog for the Vuelta πŸ™‚

Cheers
Matt

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